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Diversified ETF Portfolio Friday, November 7, 2008

Posted by ei-forum in ETFs.
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etf_tySome of our readers have asked us about how we would go about constructing a diversified ETF portfolio. Naturally, it always depends on what your ultimate investing goals are, your age, what percentage of your liquid net-worth will be invested in the portfolio, etc, etc… However, we thought that we would offer our view on what we feel could be a starting-point for a well-balanced option.

First of all, since stocks outperform all other asset classes over the long-term (see post & graphs: here), we would aim to have a majority of the portfolio in stocks and would therefore opt for a 60/40 split vs. bonds. In terms of bonds, we would place half of the allocation in a total bond market ETF and split the rest between short-term and long-term bonds. You could also just place it all in the total bond market but since we would aim to slowly build up all of our positions by buying in  thirds, we would prefer to have more choice when entering the markets:

  • Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND): 20%
  • Vanguard Long-Term Bond (BLV): 10%
  • Vanguard Short-Term Bond (BSV): 10%

With the remaining 60% of the portfolio that we will invest in stocks, it is important to keep in mind that we want diversification and enough exposure to different markets that will allow us to slowly enter our positions depending on market swings and investment cycles. Naturally, as our reader know, we prefer small cap value (they out perform! – see post and graphs: here) – but generally speaking, we always try to focus on value.

Based on the above, we will complement the total US market with US small cap value and MSCI EAFE Value index that will give us international exposure.

  • Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTI): 15%
  • Vanguard Small Cap Value (VBR): 10%
  • IShares MSCI Value (EFV): 10%

Then we would add some emerging markets and here, apart from overall market diversification/exposure, we like to look for ETFs that hold not only Asian companies but also Russian and Brazilian oil (simply our preference based on our view of future mega-trends), Gazprom, Lukoil, Petrobras,etc…:

  • Vanguard Emerging Markets (VWO): 5%

In conclusion, it is always worth having some real-estate in a diversified portfolio, also due to the stable dividend yield. Furthermore, taking into account a stream of dividend yield that would also allow you to rebalanced the portfolio, we would look at high dividend payers and possibly (in the current situation) a financial preferred share ETF:

  • Vanguard SF Reit (VNQ): 10%
  • Vanguard High Dividend Yield (VYM): 5%
  • Powershares Exchange (PGF): 5%

We feel that ultimately, you should try and have a stable 40% in bonds, 40% in the market and value stocks and 10% in real-estate and then you can try and be a little more opportunistic with the remaining 10% of the portfolio.

Please note that opinions and strategies vary and that this is just one option which we would be happy owning – not only in terms of mix but also because of the low expense ratios and dividend yield.

Happy fine-tuning of your portfolio!

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Comments»

1. John - Saturday, November 8, 2008

Keeping 40% in bonds is still a higher percentage. You trade on 60 cents of dollar on the regular transaction and 40 cents fixed to ensure the future is fair enough if you are not looking at making heavy gains. This breakdown or more so 40:60 in Bond/Equity will even work better during the slow phase. When numbers are towards north – having 80:20 in Equity/Bond would work great.

John

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2. ei-forum - Saturday, November 8, 2008

Thanks for your note John – we agree! The idea behind the post was to give some general guidance… one could also start by just building the equity portion but indeed, under the current economic climate and market reality it would make sense to be more overweight stocks. However, it also depends on age and investment horizon… assuming someone is in his 30s with stable income, we would probably tend to be even 90% in equity for the next 5-10 years!

3. Jack Pane - Sunday, November 9, 2008

I don’t see why there should be such restrictions on bond investments when there are Funds out there–like the American Century 2025 Fund, all in no-interest Treasuries–that pay 11% annually, all on cap gains. I am in this Fund, and that’s what I’ve collected over the past 10 years, making it my number one investment.

4. ei-forum - Monday, November 10, 2008

Thank you Jack, we didn’t know this fund – it looks quite interesting and could definitely be a good option (as a general rule we prefer ETFs to Mutual fund for a number of reasons). Also the treasuries are always a good option. We were replying to a specific reader question on all ETF portfolio but as you highlight, it is always better to be flexible when constructing an investment portfolio as there are a lot of very good option out there! Thank you once again for your comment!

5. Investor Forum - Tuesday, November 11, 2008

I agree with many aspects of your diversified portfolio model, but I also feel that a 40:60 in Bond/Equity would work better in the current market situation.